Republicans fared less well on Tuesday than was widely anticipated, and votes in the crucial elections for the House of Representatives are still being tallied. As a result, no party has a majority.Democrats possess 189 members in the House, with several crucial contests remaining to be called, while the GOP still appears on track to take control of the chamber. To date, the GOP has won 207 seats.
To create a majority in the House, 218 seats are required, and similar to the 100-seat Senate, the outcome of just a few of the remaining races will likely determine how many seats are in play.
In order to gain a majority and potentially elect Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy as the next Speaker of the House, Republicans must triumph in a number of other tight races. Even if it seems doubtful that Speaker Nancy Pelosi's party would win, it can't be completely ruled out given how close several current elections are.
While live results continue to come in and maps are updated by CNN, The New York Times, and other media outlets that are closely monitoring the counts, the final RealClearPolitics (RCP) map projecting the likely results of the midterm elections in the House may serve as a guide to the outcome of those close races.
These are close races that could determine who controls the House.In Alaska's sole congressional district, Democratic Representative Mary Peltola is vying for reelection for a full term. She is up against Chris Bye, a libertarian, former governor Sarah Palin, and Nick Begich, also Republicans.
The New York Times predicts that Peltola will win by a slim margin with 80% of the votes counted in the election, which is being conducted using the state's new ranked choice voting method.
Palin received 26.6 percent of the vote, Begich received 24.2%, and Peltola received 47.2%. It is still unclear how the race will change if Begich or Palin are both defeated.
According to RCP, a Republican victory in Alaska would be a significant success for the party.
With 73 percent of the ballots counted, Democrat Jevin Hodge is ahead of Republican Representative David Schweikert by a margin of 50.8 percent to 49.2 percent in Arizona's 1st congressional district.
Although the RCP's map indicated a GOP edge in this contest, it looks that the absence of a red wave this year has had an impact.
RCP's analysis deemed Arizona's 4th district a toss-up; the race there is close, but currently leaning in favor of Democratic Representative Greg Stanton, who had 56.9% support with 73 percent of the votes counted. Kelly Cooper, a Republican rival, received 43.1 percent of the vote.
With only 50% of the ballots counted, Republican John Duarte leads Democrat Adam Gray by a margin of 50.15 to 49.85 percent in California's 13th congressional district.Along with California's 47th district, where Democratic Representative Katie Porter holds a slim lead of 50.45 percent over Republican Scott Baugh's 49.55 percent with 58 percent of the ballots recorded, RCP ranked the seat as a toss-up.
In the 49th district of California, Democratic Representative Mike Levin is in the lead with 51.1 percent of the vote versus Republican Brian Maryott's 48.9 percent, with 51% of the ballots counted.
The New York Times predicts that Republican Representative Ken Calvert, who is now trailing Democrat Would Rollins in the state's 41st district, will win by a slim margin.
Rollins is ahead of Calvert with 54.2 percent to his 45.8 percent despite the fact that only 37 percent of the ballots have been tabulated. The RCP gave this race a GOP tilt.
Colorado's 8th district was predicted to lean Republican by Colorado RCP, but the contest is currently close. Democratic candidate Yadira Caraveo is in the lead with 48.28 percent, followed by Republican Barbara Kirkmeyer with 47.86 percent and Libertarian Richard Ward with 3.86 percent.
93 percent of the ballots have been tallied, but the final outcome is still unclear.
In Colorado's 3rd district, where Republican Representative Lauren Boebert is only ahead of her Democratic opponent, Adam Frisch, a surprise could be in store.
Approximately 95% of the votes have been tallied, and Frisch is ahead of Boebert with 50.01 percent to 49.99 percent. For Boebert, a well-known Republican with a significant national profile, this wasn't anticipated to be a tight contest, and RCP gave the campaign a GOP likelihood rating.
Nevada
Susie Lee, a Democrat, has 50.8 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd district with 88 percent of the votes counted, while April Becker, a Republican, has 49.2 percent. RCP rated this race as lean GOP.
Republican candidate Brandon Williams is ahead of Democrat Francis Conole with 50.7 percent of the vote to Conole's 49.3 percent in the 22nd district of New York, where Republicans were hoped to make gains in the state.
Those figures are close, but around 95% of the votes have been tallied, and RCP gave the contest a lean GOP rating.
Oregon
Another close contest involving the RCP is in Oregon's 6th district, where Democratic candidate Andrea Salinas is ahead of Republican Mike Erickson with 49.7 percent to 48.1 percent, but Constitution Party candidate Larry McFarland is trailing with 2.2 percent.
Only 61 percent of the votes have been tallied as of these results.With 65 percent of the votes counted, Democratic Representative Kim Schrier is leading Republican Matt Larkin in the 8th congressional district of Washington with 52.6 percent of the vote to Larkin's 47.4 percent.
According to RCP's estimate, the seat is leaning GOP, although it is still unclear whether Schrier will win reelection.
With 70% of the votes counted, Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez is ahead of Republican Joe Kent in the 3rd Congressional District with a 52.3 percent to 47.7 percent margin. The RCP gave the election a likely GOP rating, but the New York Times predicted a narrow victory for Kent.
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